Tuesday, January 12, 2016

Roubini: The Europe Question in 2016

In this new article on Project Syndicate, Nouriel Roubini says Europe needs cooperation, integration, risk sharing and solidarity but is getting nationalism, divergence, and disintegration instead. Below are a couple of quotes.

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"At the cusp of the new year, we face a world in which geopolitical and geo-economic risks are multiplying. Most of the Middle East is ablaze, stoking speculation that a long Sunni-Shia war (like Europe’s Thirty Years’ War between Catholics and Protestants) could be at hand. China’s rise is fueling a wide range of territorial disputes in Asia and challenging America’s strategic leadership in the region. And Russia’s invasion of Ukraine has apparently become a semi-frozen conflict, but one that could reignite at any time.


There is also the chance of another epidemic, as outbreaks of SARS, MERS, Ebola, and other infectious diseases have shown in recent years. Cyber-warfare is a looming threat as well, and non-state actors and groups are creating conflict and chaos from the Middle East to North and Sub-Saharan Africa. Last, but certainly not least, climate change is already causing significant damage, with extreme weather events becoming more frequent and lethal.


Yet it is Europe that may turn out to be the ground zero of geopolitics in 2016  . . . . . .





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